Week 15 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 15. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

Rank	Team	Last Wk	GWP	Opp GWP	O Rank	D Rank
1	NE	1	0.88	0.54	1	5
2	IND	2	0.87	0.54	3	1
3	DAL	3	0.79	0.50	4	7
4	TB	4	0.76	0.48	6	6
5	JAX	5	0.74	0.57	2	11
6	GB	6	0.69	0.47	5	12
7	SD	9	0.68	0.51	14	4
8	PIT	8	0.63	0.47	16	3
9	SEA	7	0.63	0.39	13	9
10	PHI	10	0.62	0.55	8	14
11	TEN	13	0.58	0.53	22	2
12	DEN	12	0.55	0.49	7	27
13	MIN	11	0.55	0.44	12	17
14	WAS	15	0.54	0.53	18	8
15	NYG	14	0.50	0.50	19	10
16	HOU	18	0.50	0.52	15	25
17	CLE	17	0.48	0.46	9	26
18	BUF	16	0.47	0.56	17	16
19	NYJ	19	0.44	0.55	21	19
20	NO	21	0.43	0.50	11	32
21	CIN	20	0.42	0.47	10	31
22	ATL	24	0.36	0.51	20	22
23	BAL	22	0.35	0.49	25	20
24	CAR	27	0.33	0.51	27	15
25	KC	25	0.33	0.54	31	13
26	MIA	28	0.31	0.53	26	28
27	ARI	23	0.31	0.43	23	23
28	DET	26	0.30	0.52	24	21
29	STL	29	0.29	0.46	29	18
30	OAK	30	0.27	0.50	28	24
31	CHI	31	0.25	0.52	30	30
32	SF	32	0.14	0.43	32	29