Standings Forecast Week 8

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. Projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP) which is the chance a team will win against a league-average opponent at a neutral site. The projections account for future opponent strength (Fut Opp), and projected wins (proj W) is a total of current and estimated future wins. The methodology is described more fully here.

TEAM	GWP	Fut Opp GWP	Proj GWP	Curr W	Proj W
AFC E
BUF	0.63	0.39	0.72	5	11.5
MIA	0.67	0.37	0.77	3	10.0
NYJ	0.46	0.47	0.49	4	8.4
NE	0.35	0.53	0.32	5	7.9
AFC N
PIT	0.63	0.51	0.62	5	10.6
BAL	0.46	0.55	0.41	4	7.7
CLE	0.35	0.52	0.33	3	6.0
CIN	0.19	0.52	0.18	0	1.4
AFC S
TEN	0.57	0.46	0.62	7	12.5
IND	0.49	0.43	0.56	3	8.1
JAX	0.43	0.44	0.48	3	7.4
HOU	0.43	0.48	0.45	3	7.0
AFC W
SD	0.74	0.44	0.78	3	9.2
DEN	0.45	0.53	0.42	4	7.8
OAK	0.38	0.53	0.35	2	5.1
KC	0.17	0.56	0.14	1	2.3
NFC E
WAS	0.82	0.50	0.82	6	12.5
PHI	0.80	0.52	0.79	4	11.1
NYG	0.68	0.66	0.52	6	10.7
DAL	0.62	0.58	0.54	5	9.3
NFC N
CHI	0.69	0.45	0.74	4	10.6
GB	0.49	0.54	0.45	4	8.0
MIN	0.50	0.49	0.50	3	7.5
DET	0.16	0.58	0.13	0	1.1
NFC S
CAR	0.75	0.50	0.75	6	12.0
TB	0.63	0.50	0.63	5	10.1
ATL	0.62	0.56	0.57	4	9.1
NO	0.65	0.51	0.63	4	9.1
NFC W
ARI	0.58	0.52	0.56	4	9.1
STL	0.32	0.50	0.32	2	4.9
SEA	0.31	0.58	0.25	2	4.2
SF	0.32	0.55	0.28	2	4.2