Week 12 Game Probabilities

Win probabilities for week 12 NFL games are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here with some modifications. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength.

Pwin	GAME	Pwin
0.09	CIN at PIT	0.91
0.40	CAR at ATL	0.60
0.64	BUF at KC	0.36
0.87	CHI at STL	0.13
0.25	NYJ at TEN	0.75
0.21	NE at MIA	0.79
0.54	MIN at JAX	0.46
0.70	PHI at BAL	0.30
0.51	HOU at CLE	0.49
0.87	TB at DET	0.13
0.17	SF at DAL	0.83
0.17	OAK at DEN	0.83
0.44	NYG at ARI	0.56
0.83	WAS at SEA	0.17
0.29	IND at SD	0.71
0.37	GB at NO	0.63