Jan 12, 2012

Division Round Game Probabilities

Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down. Again, this week I share some statistical tidbits on all four of the match-ups.

5 comments:

  1. The nine percentage point swing (52-43) using the Yates numbers seems pretty big. Is that just using the Texans numbers since Yates was the starter?

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  2. It's the entire team's stats except the passing stats, which are exclusively Yates'.

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  3. Do you take into account the homefield advantage effect in the playoffs?

    http://twoandahater.blogspot.com/2010/01/home-field-advantage-in-nfl-playoff_14.html

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  4. Must've been one of few people who had the 49ers as clear favourites.

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  5. Ryan -- are you serious? That blog you linked looked at a grand total of 17 past playoff games to conclude what is the true playoff HFA. It could not be any less statistically sound.

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