tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post1489590972522496853..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Standings Forecast Week 8Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-63653560113694383672008-11-02T08:51:00.000-05:002008-11-02T08:51:00.000-05:00Last year I teamed up with NFL Forecast to do that...Last year I teamed up with <A HREF="http://files.nfl-forecast.com/" REL="nofollow">NFL Forecast</A> to do that. I just checked the site and it looks like the first prediction for 2008 has just been posted. It looks like he's using my probabilities for week 9 (they're identical to mine), but I'm not sure where he's getting the following weeks' data.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-79601397621986370152008-11-02T03:38:00.000-05:002008-11-02T03:38:00.000-05:00Could you include a simulation that projects the o...Could you include a simulation that projects the odds of each team winning its division? Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-24619168426405605882008-11-01T18:23:00.000-04:002008-11-01T18:23:00.000-04:00Anon-True, but it's not the end of the day yet for...Anon-True, but it's not the end of the day yet for Philly, or any team. Performance in wins <I>and losses</I> are equally predictive.<BR/><BR/>Yes, I can do 0-16 probability estimates for DET and CIN. I did the same thing at this point last year, except it was 16-0 estimates for IND and NE.<BR/><BR/>I think the prob TEN does 16-0 is extremely low.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-86249028301345177842008-11-01T17:31:00.000-04:002008-11-01T17:31:00.000-04:00Brian, i totally agree that Philly is having a gre...Brian, i totally agree that Philly is having a great year. In the AFC, they easily go 12-4 in my opinion. But being in NFC East does them no favor, and at the end of the day, Wins matter, not how well you play in losses.<BR/><BR/>What are the probabilities that DET and Cinci goes 0-16?? can that be doneAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-75603107749405124152008-11-01T11:21:00.000-04:002008-11-01T11:21:00.000-04:00Hmm... Dallas finishing last in the NFC East with ...Hmm... Dallas finishing last in the NFC East with 9 wins. <BR/><BR/>As a dallas fan... that's a a very scary yet realistic projection. sigh.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-65165848686353905272008-10-31T15:44:00.000-04:002008-10-31T15:44:00.000-04:00I'll definitely agree about PHI, but I think under...I'll definitely agree about PHI, but I think underneath their W-L record they are having a really solid year. MIA has a really soft sked. Both eastern divisions are really toss-ups.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-28134232389747878852008-10-31T15:21:00.000-04:002008-10-31T15:21:00.000-04:00I like this alot, great little table. But...Miami ...I like this alot, great little table. But...<BR/><BR/>Miami winning 7 of their last 9... doubtful.<BR/><BR/>Philly winning 7 of their last 9... very tough.(faces NYG 2x, Dall, Wash and Ariz, Balt) tough sched.<BR/><BR/>other than those, i can see these happening for the most partAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com