tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post245434015259002130..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Play Calling on 3rd and Short Part 2Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-33636048575808576762009-08-26T19:12:19.527-04:002009-08-26T19:12:19.527-04:00Good to know, but there is a significant omission:...Good to know, but there is a significant omission: 4th down. With teams like USC who pretty much play 4 down football I would be willing to gamble on 3rd knowing that the defense is playing close to the line of scrimmage. <br /><br />Furthermore, with the defense knowing that I am willing to throw and open up the field, I thereby win room at the line of scrimmage to give my running game a bigger advantage the following third down. There is also an important distinction that needs to be made between 1st half and 2nd half third downs. Many coaches play it safe and/or draw up intentionally confusing plays in the first two quarters to mislead the opposition's tactics during halftime. Then beginning in the second half, with little time to react, offenses execute their killer plays. <br /><br />Finally, time, score differential, and talent make a major impact on success of a run or pass play on 3rd and 1.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00403555718960752698noreply@blogger.com