tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post3126490718714410611..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Super Bowl ProbabilitiesUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-45551611055533903822008-12-18T17:30:00.000-05:002008-12-18T17:30:00.000-05:00As a Minnesota fan, I request, nay, I DEMAND a wee...As a Minnesota fan, I request, nay, I DEMAND a weekly update :)Jasonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834181305584355651noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-51228454421738049822008-12-16T21:17:00.000-05:002008-12-16T21:17:00.000-05:00Well, Tommy, if it makes you feel any better, the ...Well, Tommy, if it makes you feel any better, the Cowboys are up to 2.6% chance of winning the NFC after accounting for the outcome of the week 15 games and using the new team efficiency ratings posted today. As Anon pointed out, the table above was posted before the outcome of Sunday's games.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-75749687023397714372008-12-16T11:31:00.000-05:002008-12-16T11:31:00.000-05:00Would you give 100-1 they don't win the NFC?I'd sa...Would you give 100-1 they don't win the NFC?<BR/><BR/>I'd say the Cowboys have closer to a 4% chance.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-53698501035368894792008-12-15T21:41:00.000-05:002008-12-15T21:41:00.000-05:00That was before Sunday. They still have a long way...That was before Sunday. They still have a long way to go.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-30858893491674207182008-12-15T20:48:00.000-05:002008-12-15T20:48:00.000-05:00Dallas is less than 1% to win the NFC? I'll take t...Dallas is less than 1% to win the NFC? I'll take the Cowboys at 100-1.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-33089715928144239342008-12-13T11:36:00.000-05:002008-12-13T11:36:00.000-05:00I'd agree. You're right--basically, the numbers ar...I'd agree. You're right--basically, the numbers are saying if MIN gets in the playoffs they'll be dead meat. It's saying the same thing for ARI too even though they've already made the playoffs and are guaranteed a home game.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-53105996772528833202008-12-12T21:57:00.000-05:002008-12-12T21:57:00.000-05:00It seems somewhat absurd that CHI and SD have high...It seems somewhat absurd that CHI and SD have higher probabilities than MN at this point, despite SD being nearly 8 times less likely to make the playoffs and Chicago being about half as likely. I guess this is a function of the GWPs, which have surprising results also.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com