tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post3777063416802396303..comments2022-10-29T04:20:46.650-04:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Peter King PodcastUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-14973672164284755202013-01-07T16:38:24.331-05:002013-01-07T16:38:24.331-05:00I would be interested to see a more thorough analy...I would be interested to see a more thorough analysis of the 2-pt conversion question. I get frustrated that the discussion always seems to immediately divert away from game context and towards discussion of conversion rates and whether a rate better than 50% can be achieved.<br /><br />To me the question should be "for a given situation, how high does a 2-pt conversion rate have to be to make it a worthwhile gamble?"<br /><br />Obviously, down by 1 with no time left on the clock, you would compare conversion rate of a 2pt attempt with the odds of winning overtime.<br /><br />Tied with no time left on the clock, the conversion rate would have to be higher than the odds of making the kick.<br /><br />But what about early in the game? I think that in most cases, there are too many unknowns to know which is more likely to lead to a win. Almost to the point where I would in fact think that perhaps that 15 minutes that you'll save in practice is worth just kicking the point most of the time.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com