tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post8077136709123327628..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Joe Flacco's Playoff Run Was Truly Elite (And Colin Kaepernick Was Pretty Good Too)Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-88679784229009171902013-02-14T14:02:44.099-05:002013-02-14T14:02:44.099-05:00I dunno... Flacco was clearly playing out of his m...I dunno... Flacco was clearly playing out of his mind. That part is undeniable. But it seems to me anyone can get hot in the playoffs. How predictive of future success is such a small sample? bigmouthhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00336001437381184261noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-31593328836765514822013-02-12T09:16:41.785-05:002013-02-12T09:16:41.785-05:00Flacco claims the new offensive cordinator got the...Flacco claims the new offensive cordinator got the plays in much quicker which gave him more time to read the defenses.<br /><br />MIKE Mnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-68103243971157456732013-02-11T14:36:03.237-05:002013-02-11T14:36:03.237-05:00The Ravens made a lot of changes to their offensiv...The Ravens made a lot of changes to their offensive line at the end of the year. With a good line Flacco can be elite. If I wrote up a scouting report on the guy it would read, "accurate thrower, strong arm, but slow." He needs the line more then most, but given the time he is a great thrower, especially deep.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-78279503910213465022013-02-11T14:03:37.022-05:002013-02-11T14:03:37.022-05:00Question about WP. If a team scores, it assumes th...Question about WP. If a team scores, it assumes that that team is better than if it didn't score, which increases the WP. Is it possible to separate WP from having scored more points, from WP from the probability of being a superior team, as evidenced by having scored more points?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-4026470359559650312013-02-10T17:48:21.157-05:002013-02-10T17:48:21.157-05:00Looks like Rex Grossman was by far the worst quart...Looks like Rex Grossman was by far the worst quarterback to make it to the Super Bowl since 2000, and probably one of the worst ever. No real surprise there, but it's pretty amazing he managed to contribute -32.5 EPA in just 3 playoff games and win 2 of them. Props to the D.Brettnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-90420686703990376082013-02-08T15:32:13.352-05:002013-02-08T15:32:13.352-05:00Joe Flacco was 12th in WPA and 15th in EPA among q...Joe Flacco was 12th in WPA and 15th in EPA among quarterbacks this year. Hardly elite. Because of great play in play in playoffs this year he will sign a 20 million dollar contract<br />whao nellyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-24701134822191108902013-02-08T07:27:20.451-05:002013-02-08T07:27:20.451-05:00Just be certain to check the pedigree of the devic...Just be certain to check the pedigree of the device you will be thinking of, and stay clear of nearly anything that may <br />not have been restored, or that looks to generally be in bad shape.<br /><i>Feel free to visit my webpage</i> ; <b><a href="http://www.openarticle.co.uk/Isometric-Muscles--Build-Muscle-Faster-With-Isometrics.htm" rel="nofollow">simply click the up coming site</a></b>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-87651858926341215572013-02-07T20:55:22.498-05:002013-02-07T20:55:22.498-05:00Anonymous #3 - an option quarterback came within 5...Anonymous #3 - an option quarterback came within 5 yards of winning the Super Bowl this year. Did you watch? It was a pretty entertaining game.Eric Moorehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01496717842529415018noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-27780469863788635372013-02-07T16:18:49.071-05:002013-02-07T16:18:49.071-05:00Liking the vis. Now is it just me or does it seem ...Liking the vis. Now is it just me or does it seem to lean a little to the right, as though if you fitted a parallelogram around the data points, your best fit would come from a right-leaning one rather than a straight up rectangle?<br /><br />Looks like more evidence, if any were needed, of the fact that offenses are moving the ball better every season.Ian Simcoxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01518825067469269377noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-32357290700947232702013-02-07T09:57:01.740-05:002013-02-07T09:57:01.740-05:00Great work as always, but there's an error in ...Great work as always, but there's an error in the y axis of the EPA graph: 2010 is listed above 2011 instead of below?<br /><br />This is the first time I've visited the page since Saturday. I couldn't bear to follow the page on Sunday or visit it since :(<br /><br />Love,<br />Heartbroken 49er.Peter Harrisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-54014385047995075622013-02-06T21:55:45.489-05:002013-02-06T21:55:45.489-05:00small sample size.
i bet two of the biggest plays...small sample size.<br /><br />i bet two of the biggest plays in the entire offseason were the pop flys he launched that scored 2 long TDs against the broncos. Next year, throws like that will be picked off.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-74673118422144019352013-02-06T15:38:11.533-05:002013-02-06T15:38:11.533-05:00Nice article, but I agree with James and anon1: pl...Nice article, but I agree with James and anon1: please adjust these stats and charts to a per game or per play basis. The fact that some of these QBs played 4 games and some 3 is simply too important to ignore. Think about it, the best QBs would tend to have gotten a bye, but then only have 3 games to rack up EPA and WPA in these charts. For example, 2007 E. Manning (4 games) vs Brady (3 games); Manning is ahead in WPA, but would fall behind if adjusted to WPA/Game.Alexnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-2320009853973065032013-02-06T13:45:22.921-05:002013-02-06T13:45:22.921-05:00While your conclusion is definitely true, haven...While your conclusion is definitely true, haven't we shown that "EPA per play (12th)" is the most important aspect when determining Flacco's future performance? I'd be leery of a big contract if I was a Ravens fan.<br /><br />I'd also like to see the same charts with per play or per game options.Jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01838293735141324662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-46197742084401353472013-02-06T13:29:54.877-05:002013-02-06T13:29:54.877-05:00Nice visual, Jack. I'm not seeing Tom Brady in...Nice visual, Jack. I'm not seeing Tom Brady in this year's playoffs.<br /><br />Looking at these same charts for Flacco during past regular seasons, he certainly wasn't among the elite. Seems he got good/lucky at the right time.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-71683885525265731112013-02-06T13:01:30.313-05:002013-02-06T13:01:30.313-05:00Colin K. is an option QB. None of these types will...Colin K. is an option QB. None of these types will ever win Super Bowls compared to traditionals like Flacco and Rodgers. Look-- the only reason Niners got as close as they did was because they had a solid D finally supported with the offense this year. But falling behind early in big games doesn't always mean you can catch up which proves again will people start whining next year when Colin plays a full year and there is more than one blowout in the mix. And the D mainly built by a guy named Mike Nolan.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-32648256272527717112013-02-06T12:53:46.941-05:002013-02-06T12:53:46.941-05:00When are we going to see games before 2000When are we going to see games before 2000Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-13816965256322214002013-02-06T10:44:10.424-05:002013-02-06T10:44:10.424-05:00Do the WPA or EPA correlate to the number of games...Do the WPA or EPA correlate to the number of games played? Does a first round bye hinder your ability to hit the tops of these charts? Are the stats adjusted for EPA/gm, or is that not even a relevant question for this statistic? Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com