Nov 18, 2010

Game Probabilities: Week 11

Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down.

3 comments:

  1. Off topic, but has anyone read the latest Manning/Brady article on ESPN?

    Out of 15 categories, Manning wins 11 of them and is declared the better QB. One of the categories Manning loses is who is better in a playoff game. So despite an "objective" analysis of each QB's attributes and determining one is decidedly better than the other, the majority still chooses the lesser option 'when it counts'. Is this not an indictment of the sorry state of the football media/coaching mentality?

    http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=5819047

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  2. James you are absolutely correct.

    What I think they are really saying is they rather take the lesser QB "if" with him they get the better defense, coaching staff, and special teams.

    Heck Manning's postseason AY/A and completion %is even .75 and .9% better respectively than Brady at this point in their careers. Which is similar to their regular season differences.

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  3. Is success rate now part of the prediction formula?

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