Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down. This week I put blame where blame is due for the prediction model's under-performing season...squarely on the shoulders of Norv Turner.
Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down. This week I put blame where blame is due for the prediction model's under-performing season...squarely on the shoulders of Norv Turner.
Brian,
ReplyDeleteit seems you don't post the actual results of the model's accuracy for this year or past years. any reason for that?
A simple "did the percentage favorite win" measure is not really meaningful in evaluating a model that's producing percentage chances. I would be interested in seeing a root mean square error for this prediction model, though.
ReplyDeleteyeah RMSE is surely better. but it would be good to see something.
ReplyDelete