tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post147853656023800724..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Baseball Experts: Dumber than MonkeysUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-44936349752026979312008-10-27T09:05:00.000-04:002008-10-27T09:05:00.000-04:00"My point is that as we approach football’s silly ..."My point is that as we approach football’s silly season of predictions, don’t believe anything you read or hear. Don’t put much stock in a favorable prediction for your team, and don’t panic at an unfavorable one."Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-63425690195973413072008-10-27T05:37:00.000-04:002008-10-27T05:37:00.000-04:00How can you say these things with a sample size of...How can you say these things with a sample size of less than 1 season? The number of seasons seems alot more important than number of analysts in this study.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-15794255535138096022008-07-17T18:01:00.000-04:002008-07-17T18:01:00.000-04:00I think the length of the MLB season negates a lot...I think the length of the MLB season negates a lot of luck. Even though the better team wins more often in the NFL than MLB, the NFL 16 game season is so short that there is a lot of luck in team records. Regression helps hedge against the luck.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-23793287097268920582008-07-17T17:31:00.000-04:002008-07-17T17:31:00.000-04:00So, if the overriding strategy in predicting NFL s...So, if the overriding strategy in predicting NFL standings is "remember: regression to the mean," in MLB, might it be, "stick w/ the horse that won last year"?j-mohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01129871202782834277noreply@blogger.com