tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post1885583894208070233..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Sunday's Numbers Have Been CruchedUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-24996155851804711122011-12-05T14:48:50.133-05:002011-12-05T14:48:50.133-05:00I'll take a look at that. It is aware of the 2...I'll take a look at that. It is aware of the 2-pt conversion, but there are some strange wrinkles in the raw data that sometimes don't get ironed out.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-81721760294641861852011-12-05T14:18:16.246-05:002011-12-05T14:18:16.246-05:00Does your win probability calculator take into acc...Does your win probability calculator take into account 2 point conversions? If I put in the end of the GB/NYG game:<br /><br />3:46 left. 1st and 10 from own 20. From NYG perspective:<br /><br />-7 = .18 win probability<br />-8 = .10 win probability<br />-9 = .10 win probability<br /><br />Surely there has to be a bigger difference between being down 8 and down 9 with under 4 minutes to go. Seems like it doesn't consider the possibility of an 8 point touchdown.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-18263138415754841932011-12-04T23:42:05.734-05:002011-12-04T23:42:05.734-05:00Lost fumble, 10 yard sack, a bunch of unsuccessful...Lost fumble, 10 yard sack, a bunch of unsuccessful 3rd downs.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-49451843957554028282011-12-04T22:03:33.286-05:002011-12-04T22:03:33.286-05:00Surprised to see Tebow's EPA so low. Was his ...Surprised to see Tebow's EPA so low. Was his first half bad enough to drag down his second?Dave Archibaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05939754767057460853noreply@blogger.com