tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post2078787668246152906..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): Simulating the Saints-Falcons EndgameUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-19310519587980525692014-09-19T11:41:07.699-04:002014-09-19T11:41:07.699-04:00No...not the Manhatten project. Down four in this ...No...not the Manhatten project. Down four in this scenario, the best play on 1st is to try make sure you don't give up a soft TD on the ground; encourage Off to pass or run round the edge or at least force a hand-off rather than a QB sneak. Do something might force an error; pressure might even induce a FS or DoG penalty. Sometimes the mentality pays dividends over the literal maths.<br /><br />Sometimes such scenarios may occur because of a more fundamental error earlier in the gameAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00395061346300145292noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-4589650960182081142014-09-14T19:15:10.122-04:002014-09-14T19:15:10.122-04:00lol. wow. so this is the manhattan project.
um ....lol. wow. so this is the manhattan project.<br /><br />um .. i don't think so.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-38116363314006545072014-09-09T14:40:37.041-04:002014-09-09T14:40:37.041-04:00Andrew-That's a good question, but it points t...Andrew-That's a good question, but it points to one of the difficulties with a sim model, it takes a lot of time, especially running multiple cases with varying initial conditions.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-64419633206495979542014-09-09T14:13:00.941-04:002014-09-09T14:13:00.941-04:00With the clocking running, what was the break-even...With the clocking running, what was the break-even? I wanted Atlanta to let them score on the first down because converting a yard is fairly easy.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01533887992615716129noreply@blogger.com