tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post313047414147815461..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): WR Expected Catch RateUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-75508242685012357002012-01-31T08:44:25.597-05:002012-01-31T08:44:25.597-05:00It's interesting that the NYG had 3 deep threa...It's interesting that the NYG had 3 deep threats by the time I got down to NE's deep threat: D. Branch... I'm sure Ocho and Underwood were meant to be a deep threat, but they were supposed to fill the greatest deep threat in the NFL: R. Moss. Will the Pats continue to look for a Manningham/Cruz in next years draft?Dadalushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14352142911374198031noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-81314623711791615482010-11-29T14:54:47.272-05:002010-11-29T14:54:47.272-05:00Brian,
Are you aware of a way to extract yards-af...Brian,<br /><br />Are you aware of a way to extract yards-after-catch (YAC) data from the NFL play-by-play data available on your site? Perhaps the use of "air yards" per catch would be more explanatory than a "deep or not deep" dummy variable.Jared Doomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17445479616742729527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-53799213216219180612010-10-30T23:01:10.504-04:002010-10-30T23:01:10.504-04:00This would be great if dropped passes were a stat ...This would be great if dropped passes were a stat available in play by play, not just targets.<br /><br />I think a better way to look at these specific stats is for comparison between WR's on a team, since that takes the QB and most play calling out of the equation.Britthttp://pickingpros.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-11370379794193147952010-10-28T15:35:31.054-04:002010-10-28T15:35:31.054-04:00Semi Worthless stat because of the QB. Lets see w...Semi Worthless stat because of the QB. Lets see what Larry Fitzgerald's numbers were when he had Kurt Warner tossing the ball to him.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-35534940758531541282010-10-28T14:38:35.397-04:002010-10-28T14:38:35.397-04:00Good oneGood oneBrian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-37129979890769713492010-10-28T14:06:30.054-04:002010-10-28T14:06:30.054-04:00Brian-
Since I know you enjoy clever acronyms, di...Brian-<br /><br />Since I know you enjoy clever acronyms, did you consider that this stat is perfect for one? Specifically,<br /><br />Catch<br />Rate<br />Above<br />PredictedFlorida Dannyhttp://www.ninersnation.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-34099632610558557292010-10-25T10:50:31.193-04:002010-10-25T10:50:31.193-04:00@Brian,
Are some of the media abbreviations alrea...@Brian,<br /><br />Are some of the media abbreviations already used in official NFL stats? Like HOU for Oilers or BAL for the old Colts? I can see the media falling back into what they are used to, even though the NFL decided they needed a new value.<br /><br />Have you looked at correlation from year to year in CR% over ExpCR? If there is a strong correlation for QB/WR tandems, is there enough turnover of WRs and QBs to try to split some of the CR% between the 2 positions? I suspect there'd be pretty low confidence in the latter, but it might be interesting to look at.tgtnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-23029601861887651932010-10-25T09:29:04.790-04:002010-10-25T09:29:04.790-04:00Brian,
This is a great article. Hopefully you can...Brian,<br />This is a great article. Hopefully you can post updates quarterly, or at least at the end of each year.<br /><br />>.But the correlation is considerable at 0.47, and at the very least, it's one piece of the puzzle.<br /><br />This is good to know also, thank you for mentioning it.Brandonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12218312184049374234noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-52789701301476056882010-10-23T23:40:19.883-04:002010-10-23T23:40:19.883-04:00Have you looked at trying to determine a league-wi...Have you looked at trying to determine a league-wide expected catch rate vs. pass attempt distance? We know, roughly, the probability of making a 30-yd field goal; what's the probability of catching a 30-yd pass?Brianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08130926015265781983noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-70828025479332273312010-10-23T20:59:47.557-04:002010-10-23T20:59:47.557-04:00CLV, SL, BLT, HST, and ARZ are what the NFL offici...CLV, SL, BLT, HST, and ARZ are what the NFL officially use.<br /><br />CLE, STL, BAL, HOU, and ARI are what everyone else uses.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-30967012106318433582010-10-23T20:24:57.842-04:002010-10-23T20:24:57.842-04:00Yes. Ditto for Branch and SEA.Yes. Ditto for Branch and SEA.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-37520764146964199402010-10-23T19:55:39.251-04:002010-10-23T19:55:39.251-04:00Does Randy Moss data include his stint in NE?Does Randy Moss data include his stint in NE?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-75047913326790123022010-10-23T14:20:03.807-04:002010-10-23T14:20:03.807-04:00A minor nitpick, but whats the deal with CLV, SL, ...A minor nitpick, but whats the deal with CLV, SL, BLT and HST abbreviations instead of CLE, STL, BAL and HOU like people usually use?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-20798616987175913532010-10-23T09:37:44.834-04:002010-10-23T09:37:44.834-04:00Deep% is the proportion of targets thrown in the a...Deep% is the proportion of targets thrown in the air deeper than 15 yds past the line of scrimmage.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-31502998362008361062010-10-23T06:07:49.584-04:002010-10-23T06:07:49.584-04:00Where does the "deep" data come from?Where does the "deep" data come from?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com