tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post5282998977055319449..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): What Happens To The Vikings If Favre Does Retire?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-89235970899373013912010-08-18T13:06:04.417-04:002010-08-18T13:06:04.417-04:00Mike Golic said on Sportscenter today that Favre i...Mike Golic said on Sportscenter today that Favre is "definitely" worth 3-4 wins. I wonder what statistics he's using.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-86178875906554612742010-08-04T11:44:17.731-04:002010-08-04T11:44:17.731-04:00I would also think T-Jack's numbers would be m...I would also think T-Jack's numbers would be much better than those you used for your model, however difficult they would be to quantify. Toward the end of that 2009 season when he won his job back, I would like to think that's how well he COULD do. But that's leaning toward subjectivity.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03609393271186542173noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-44213438827560122202010-08-04T11:39:59.112-04:002010-08-04T11:39:59.112-04:00another note, the Vikings have a brutal scehdule t...another note, the Vikings have a brutal scehdule this year, at least on preseason paper (<a href="http://www.advancednflstats.com/2010/07/pre-season-predictions-are-still.html" rel="nofollow">for what that's worth</a>)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-43316517745175898182010-08-04T06:23:04.551-04:002010-08-04T06:23:04.551-04:00Just a thought. Is there any correlation between p...Just a thought. Is there any correlation between pass efficiency and rushing efficiency, that would mean putting a worse QB in would have a knock-on effect to the Vikings rushing attack as defences start to play the run more?<br /><br />Certainly I’d expect the Vikings’ rushing to benefit from having the threat of Favre at QB. Similarly, I’d expect it to suffer without the threat of a future Hall of Fame QB.Iannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-83089318860413460902010-08-04T00:08:29.701-04:002010-08-04T00:08:29.701-04:00My guess is the fall will be considerably less tha...My guess is the fall will be considerably less than that. Obviously, the regression to the mean would occur. In addition to that, the effects of age would have had to start showing up eventually. Once you get into the late 30s, every additional year is a considerably lower mean expectation. On the other hand, Jackson is clearly on the upward slope of his career. Every year for him, the stats are better than the year before. I actually think he'll be a pretty good qb for them. I'd also note that the Vikings had an extremely good supporting cast for Favre last year. I think that had a lot to do with his breakout year.<br /><br />On the other hand, the Vikings had an extremely good year last year. Regression to the mean is definitely expected. If the question is how much different will Jackson '10 be from Favre '10, my hypothesis is not much. Of course, we'll never know what Favre would have done if he played. The comparison people will be making is between Jackson '10 and Favre '09. I think thats an unfair comparison because I really think 2009 was an outlier.Jeff Clarkenoreply@blogger.com