tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post6644121913271250206..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): What Kind of Teams Are Super Bowl Winners?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-71843393975853036422013-12-10T15:32:55.460-05:002013-12-10T15:32:55.460-05:00I think it's intriguing because this is terrif...I think it's intriguing because this is terrific evidence which supports the old saw "defense wins championships". Very few of these teams have below average defenses.<br /><br />It's also interesting that none come from the lower left quadrant - which you'd hope would be the case. That would completely undermine the NFL's drive for parity if truly bad teams won.<br /><br />That said, it's sad that even a few mediocre teams won because they found 'good fortune' come playoff time, especially if they backed into the playoffs (as some did).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-79492618047413139882013-12-10T14:47:33.928-05:002013-12-10T14:47:33.928-05:00Whoops I meant I was the third Anon, and the fourt...Whoops I meant I was the third Anon, and the fourth must be a Saints fan.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-68685124135544134032013-12-10T14:29:13.837-05:002013-12-10T14:29:13.837-05:00I was the second anon. First anon must be a Saint...I was the second anon. First anon must be a Saints fan.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-33476712969611351712013-12-10T03:12:18.409-05:002013-12-10T03:12:18.409-05:00Other Anon - The graph is actually saying that the...Other Anon - The graph is actually saying that they are the worst teams to win it in the years examined.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-89410193325196300342013-12-09T19:58:28.221-05:002013-12-09T19:58:28.221-05:00Those Giants teams and last year's Ravens have...Those Giants teams and last year's Ravens have to be the worst teams ever to win the Super Bowl.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-70135120337902571242013-12-09T17:10:15.540-05:002013-12-09T17:10:15.540-05:00This website is so stupid.This website is so stupid.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-85224615714490181212013-12-09T16:40:27.540-05:002013-12-09T16:40:27.540-05:00Could some of this result be an artifact that offe...Could some of this result be an artifact that offenses have become more efficient on average over the last decade or so? Just eyeballing the graph, it seems like teams in the "good offense" quadrants disproportionately come from more recent years, "good defense" teams tend to come from earlier years in the sample.<br /><br />I wonder if the result would hold up if you adjusted for this by plotting the teams' EPA relative to the league average EPA for that season.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com