tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post794804759014437328..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): The Vikings' and Lions' Paths to the PlayoffsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-30780990078573279202007-12-01T15:24:00.000-05:002007-12-01T15:24:00.000-05:00Very cool.Very cool.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-34631828899324450442007-12-01T13:14:00.000-05:002007-12-01T13:14:00.000-05:00I've got the software running again at nfl-forecas...I've got the software running again at nfl-forecast.com. This is a perfect scenario to analyze. At this time the Vikings have a 47% chance of making the playoffs compared to less than 5% for Detroit. <BR/><BR/>If Detroit pulls the upset, the odds change to about 15% for each team and Washington and Philidelphia will become the favorites, each with about 25% odds. The reason lies in the tiebreakers. Nine wins will probably be enough to get Washington, Phillidelphia or Minnesota in the last wild card spot, but 9 wins only gives Detroit about a 50% shot.<BR/><BR/>If Minnesota wins on Sunday, their conditional odds increase to 53% and Detrot's drops to below 2%. This is pretty much a must win game for Detroit, as a win increases their odds by about a factor of 8 compared to a loss.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15728246549124631888noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-87125764573947397102007-12-01T03:59:00.000-05:002007-12-01T03:59:00.000-05:00I agree that the Vikings are the better team, but ...I agree that the Vikings are the better team, but I'll stick with my Lions pick. I've maintained the entire season that they'll back in as an 8-8, 9-7 team. They'll suck again next year, but I don't trust Tavaris Jackson to rally the Vikings into the playoffs.Derekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17941314072950152029noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-862724785736463372007-11-30T17:42:00.000-05:002007-11-30T17:42:00.000-05:00I hate being a Lions fan. Even when they win I don...I hate being a Lions fan. Even when they win I don't feel so good because I don't expect the success to last.<BR/><BR/>Being an "analyst" makes it hard to have a favorite team because you have to be impartial in your analysis.<BR/><BR/>Anyway, nice to see you're getting similar results.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com