tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post825667349840954005..comments2023-11-05T04:16:44.937-05:00Comments on Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced NFL Stats): 2010 Individual Player Stats Now AvailableUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-76384430188739680412010-09-30T19:20:04.221-04:002010-09-30T19:20:04.221-04:00Just a hunch: I would look for palyers with high S...Just a hunch: I would look for palyers with high Success Rates, but who have not been lucky enough to break off long runs/catches or get a bunch of TDs. They're probably undervalued.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-37837435237804948642010-09-30T18:59:38.615-04:002010-09-30T18:59:38.615-04:00Hi Brian,
I love the stats ... lots of great work...Hi Brian,<br /><br />I love the stats ... lots of great work!<br /><br />Which stat could I use for looking at possible fantasy player ww pickups? <br />ThanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-10041907645028884182010-09-15T14:05:41.059-04:002010-09-15T14:05:41.059-04:00True.True.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-60961358401116608302010-09-15T14:04:29.250-04:002010-09-15T14:04:29.250-04:00Looking at your chart, Arian Foster didn't get...Looking at your chart, Arian Foster didn't get much WPA for his last two touchdowns. But the model is based on situational league historical values, right? So the pre-touchdown WPA assumes that the losing team has an "average" offense, one that is very unlikely to score two or three touchdowns in the final quarter; ergo, padding a 20-10 lead with only 9 minutes left to play (and when you're in good field goal range, meaning 23-10 was already likely) isn't measured as particularly valuable. But hindsight, and (more importantly) knowledge of the Colts' offense, tells us that it really was.Jason Dnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-63589771573681989682010-09-15T13:51:48.536-04:002010-09-15T13:51:48.536-04:00Bah, of course. Thanks.Bah, of course. Thanks.Dr Obvioushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00966038406811006557noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-62080249000706459472010-09-15T09:58:26.588-04:002010-09-15T09:58:26.588-04:00Quick answer is to go to the WP graph and note the...Quick answer is to go to the WP graph and note the WPA of that final play.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-82037133312473857162010-09-15T09:56:24.549-04:002010-09-15T09:56:24.549-04:00Is it possible to give us Mendenhall's regular...Is it possible to give us Mendenhall's regular time WPA and EPA? His 50 some odd yard run for a TD in overtime kind of inflates his stats, and I'm curious how he performed otherwise.Dr Obvioushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00966038406811006557noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-37446676751863938892010-09-15T08:47:21.615-04:002010-09-15T08:47:21.615-04:00Anybody know who's stats dropped from Monday t...Anybody know who's stats dropped from Monday to Tuesday sept 14th 2010?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-1236168166938851762010-09-15T01:25:32.714-04:002010-09-15T01:25:32.714-04:00I'd like to see some stats on red zone success...I'd like to see some stats on red zone success this last week. It seems that lots of teams didn't do well.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-67561493435741100172010-09-15T00:44:46.261-04:002010-09-15T00:44:46.261-04:00Yes, it's true WPA heavily over-weights the en...Yes, it's true WPA heavily over-weights the ends of games, but that's its purpose. <br /><br />For those who prefer unweighted, the tables can be sorted by EPA, or EPA/play.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-46647097050533867442010-09-15T00:41:19.179-04:002010-09-15T00:41:19.179-04:00Thank you. I got the D right, anyway.Thank you. I got the D right, anyway.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-20425332594412900182010-09-14T23:59:47.741-04:002010-09-14T23:59:47.741-04:00DeAngelo Hall not Dante HallDeAngelo Hall not Dante HallAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-38600807.post-85261883774843993632010-09-14T23:24:56.519-04:002010-09-14T23:24:56.519-04:00WPA tends to overweight the end of the game (or gi...WPA tends to overweight the end of the game (or give it no weight at all if it's a blowout) but it's really a terrific stat anyway.Jonathannoreply@blogger.com