Season Win Projections Week 12

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. As before, projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP). The projections account for future opponent strength (Fut Opp), and projected wins (proj W) is a total of current and estimated future wins. The methodology is described more fully here.

Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
AFC E
NE	1	0.91	0.48	15.6
BUF	19	0.39	0.53	6.9
NYJ	24	0.34	0.54	3.7
MIA	18	0.43	0.49	2.1
AFC N
PIT	5	0.70	0.51	11.5
CLE	17	0.61	0.35	10.1
CIN	20	0.50	0.40	6.5
BAL	26	0.18	0.70	4.9
AFC S
IND	2	0.88	0.45	13.4
JAX	7	0.65	0.52	11.3
TEN	15	0.45	0.54	8.2
HOU	16	0.31	0.67	6.6
AFC W
SD	10	0.69	0.40	9.5
DEN	14	0.58	0.46	7.9
KC	21	0.43	0.47	6.2
OAK	29	0.14	0.67	3.7
Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
NFC E
DAL	3	0.85	0.50	14.2
NYG	11	0.53	0.54	9.7
WAS	12	0.55	0.52	7.7
PHI	9	0.54	0.57	7.7
NFC N
GB	6	0.79	0.38	13.9
MIN	13	0.68	0.37	8.4
DET	27	0.23	0.62	7.2
CHI	31	0.19	0.55	6.0
NFC S
TB	4	0.87	0.34	11.3
NO	25	0.39	0.48	6.9
ATL	22	0.41	0.48	5.1
CAR	28	0.21	0.62	5.0
NFC W
SEA	8	0.71	0.41	10.5
ARI	23	0.47	0.42	7.4
SF	32	0.18	0.50	3.9
STL	30	0.23	0.52	3.2