Week 10 Game Probabilities

Win probabilities for week 10 NFL games are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here with some modifications. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength.

Pwin	GAME	Pwin
0.50	DEN at CLE	0.50
0.36	NO at ATL	0.64
0.20	STL at NYJ	0.80
0.63	JAX at DET	0.37
0.51	BAL at HOU	0.49
0.16	SEA at MIA	0.84
0.60	BUF at NE	0.40
0.42	GB at MIN	0.58
0.33	TEN at CHI	0.67
0.82	CAR at OAK	0.18
0.29	IND at PIT	0.71
0.06	KC at SD	0.94
0.27	NYG at PHI	0.73
0.17	SF at ARI	0.83