Playoff Predictions - Conference Championships

Game probabilities for the NFL conference championships are listed below. Probabilities consider only the last 10 weeks of football. The first half of the season is excluded and recent playoff performance is included, accounting for regular season and playoff strength of schedule.

The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength. Click here for a sortable comparison of playoff team stats from the regular season.

V ProbGameH Prob
0.30 SD at NE 0.70
0.28 NYG at GB 0.72

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