Weekly game probabilities are available now at the nytimes.com Fifth Down.
Again, this week I share some statistical tidbits on all four of the match-ups.
Division Round Game Probabilities
published on 1/12/2012
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The nine percentage point swing (52-43) using the Yates numbers seems pretty big. Is that just using the Texans numbers since Yates was the starter?
It's the entire team's stats except the passing stats, which are exclusively Yates'.
Do you take into account the homefield advantage effect in the playoffs?
http://twoandahater.blogspot.com/2010/01/home-field-advantage-in-nfl-playoff_14.html
Must've been one of few people who had the 49ers as clear favourites.
Ryan -- are you serious? That blog you linked looked at a grand total of 17 past playoff games to conclude what is the true playoff HFA. It could not be any less statistically sound.