Season Win Projections Week 11

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. As before, projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP). The projections account for future opponent strength, and total wins account for current and projected wins. Methodology is described here.

Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
AFC E
NE	1	0.90	0.55	15.4
BUF	19	0.44	0.51	7.7
NYJ	27	0.28	0.57	3.7
MIA	23	0.34	0.54	2.0
AFC N
PIT	5	0.74	0.47	11.4
CLE	17	0.60	0.42	9.6
CIN	20	0.51	0.43	6.1
BAL	24	0.22	0.63	5.3
AFC S
IND	3	0.87	0.52	13.2
JAX	8	0.59	0.52	10.5
TEN	14	0.50	0.52	9.0
HOU	16	0.38	0.55	7.3
AFC W
SD	10	0.65	0.53	8.9
DEN	13	0.62	0.44	8.7
KC	21	0.50	0.52	7.0
OAK	31	0.15	0.52	2.9
Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
NFC E
DAL	2	0.87	0.54	14.2
NYG	9	0.60	0.51	10.6
WAS	11	0.51	0.58	8.0
PHI	12	0.43	0.57	7.6
NFC N
GB	7	0.73	0.43	13.4
DET	26	0.26	0.51	7.6
MIN	15	0.59	0.47	7.5
CHI	30	0.24	0.50	5.4
NFC S
TB	4	0.87	0.40	11.2
NO	28	0.35	0.42	6.1
CAR	25	0.30	0.55	5.8
ATL	22	0.32	0.51	4.9
NFC W
SEA	6	0.71	0.38	10.3
ARI	18	0.56	0.41	8.4
STL	29	0.22	0.44	3.3
SF	32	0.21	0.44	3.3