Week 12 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 12. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

Rank	TEAM	Last Wk	GWP	Opp GWP	O Rank	D Rank
1	NE	1	0.91	0.54	1	3
2	IND	3	0.86	0.54	6	1
3	DAL	2	0.85	0.50	2	5
4	TB	4	0.77	0.48	4	7
5	PIT	5	0.71	0.42	15	2
6	GB	7	0.69	0.48	5	11
7	JAX	8	0.67	0.53	3	19
8	SEA	6	0.63	0.38	11	12
9	PHI	12	0.60	0.55	7	20
10	SD	10	0.60	0.54	13	9
11	NYG	9	0.57	0.53	17	8
12	WAS	11	0.57	0.59	20	6
13	MIN	15	0.56	0.51	12	13
14	DEN	13	0.54	0.51	8	27
15	TEN	14	0.49	0.52	27	4
16	HOU	16	0.48	0.47	16	24
17	CLE	17	0.46	0.49	9	29
18	MIA	23	0.42	0.56	19	21
19	BUF	19	0.41	0.59	18	18
20	CIN	20	0.40	0.50	10	31
21	KC	21	0.40	0.50	26	10
22	ATL	22	0.39	0.50	22	17
23	ARI	18	0.39	0.42	21	15
24	NYJ	27	0.37	0.56	23	30
25	NO	28	0.37	0.48	14	32
26	BAL	24	0.35	0.42	28	14
27	DET	26	0.33	0.49	24	16
28	CAR	25	0.30	0.50	25	23
29	OAK	31	0.25	0.45	29	25
30	STL	29	0.25	0.46	31	22
31	CHI	30	0.23	0.52	30	28
32	SF	32	0.18	0.45	32	26