Week 9 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 9. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

Rank	Team	Last Wk	GWP	Opp GWP	O Rank	D Rank
1	IND	2	0.92	0.58	2	2
2	NE	1	0.91	0.53	1	3
3	DAL	3	0.85	0.47	3	5
4	TB	4	0.80	0.52	4	8
5	PIT	5	0.79	0.44	9	4
6	SEA	6	0.69	0.47	12	12
7	NYG	11	0.62	0.46	16	7
8	TEN	9	0.60	0.53	27	1
9	JAX	7	0.57	0.55	8	23
10	PHI	10	0.57	0.49	5	21
11	WAS	12	0.56	0.51	24	6
12	GB	14	0.54	0.45	13	14
13	BUF	19	0.48	0.56	19	11
14	CIN	15	0.48	0.55	7	26
15	MIN	23	0.46	0.47	14	15
16	HOU	17	0.46	0.47	18	24
17	CLE	20	0.45	0.50	6	28
18	NO	25	0.45	0.57	11	30
19	SD	8	0.45	0.44	15	19
20	CAR	24	0.43	0.53	22	18
21	BAL	16	0.43	0.41	28	9
22	ARI	21	0.42	0.51	23	17
23	DET	22	0.41	0.43	25	10
24	DEN	13	0.40	0.55	10	29
25	ATL	26	0.40	0.47	20	20
26	KC	18	0.35	0.42	26	13
27	NYJ	29	0.30	0.54	21	32
28	MIA	28	0.30	0.55	17	31
29	OAK	27	0.24	0.43	31	16
30	STL	31	0.21	0.53	29	27
31	CHI	30	0.18	0.50	30	25
32	SF	32	0.16	0.50	32	22