Roundup 1/14/12

When it comes to passing, there's the Packers, Saints, and Patriots, and then there's everyone else.

Tebow is no good, except when he's great.

PFR's AV for 2011 is up.

The future of prediction.

From the Community Site: Bayesian Coach Rankings by David Durschlag. Also, Jim Glass keeps it simple.

Michael Beuoy has also updated his 'futures' market rankings, which I think is very clever. Michael has also recently launched his own site. Check it out.

The NFL continues to be competitively balanced.

The effect of the kickoff rule change.

The Total Quarterback Ratings for 2011.

Do NHL referees call "make-up" penalties? Yes, they do. Part 2.

How have injuries changed in the year of the no off-season? Not very much.

An analysis of Brady's and Belichick's vocabularies when talking to the press.

Do we need doctors or algorithms?

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3 Responses to “Roundup 1/14/12”

  1. James says:

    Does the effect of the new kickoff rule mean that kicking a fg is now slightly more attractive than going for it on 4th down as the points lost due to giving up field position is now not as bad and so the ratio of the net value of a FG compared to TD has improved.

  2. Brian Burke says:

    The effect is very slight. The value of a TD increases just as much.

    The overall effect is small to begin with. The average starting position moved from about the 29 to the 22. Possession is much more important than those 7 yds.

    (One reason you go for it when outside the 30 is that, later on the drive, if you end up with a 4th and long, you now have a shorter FG attempt.)

    Lastly, the reason FGs would become slightly more attractive is not because they are worth more relative to TDs, but because they are worth more relative to a failure to convert.

  3. Anonymous says:

    Man it seems like every week there is a new statistic somewhere. I have no idea what AV is.

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