Game Probabilities - Week 17

Game probabilities for week 17 are available at the New York Times. This week I take a look at the narratives surrounding Tony Romo.

...However, the part of the story line that’s true is that Romo is a boom-and-bust performer. He can both lead his team to a dramatic victory, as he did last week in Washington, or make bone-headed plays to let victory slip from his team’s hands, as he did the week before in Green Bay.

Of all the quarterbacks with over a full season worth of pass attempts since 1999, Romo ranks 15th out of 152 qualified players in the game-by-game variance of WPA, which measures how far apart the peaks and valleys in a statistic tend to be...

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4 Responses to “Game Probabilities - Week 17”

  1. Anonymous says:

    You wrote "Game probabilities for week 15 are available..." I think you meant week 17. It does link to the correct page on NYT.

  2. Anonymous says:

    How can the huge difference in the Lions-Vikings-game compared to betting lines be explained? Usually, there is not much disagreement between Vegas and Advanced NFL Stats.

  3. Anonymous says:

    What is Romo's WP variance?

  4. Anonymous says:

    > How can the huge difference in the Lions-Vikings-game compared to
    > betting lines be explained?

    Adrian Peterson and Calvin Johnson are injured, and the game doesn't have playoff implications, so the teams might be running at less than ten tenths otherwise.

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