Week 14 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 14. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.





































RankTeamLast WkGWPOpp GWPO RankD Rank
1NE10.890.5515
2IND30.870.5441
3DAL20.820.4926
4TB40.760.4867
5JAX60.720.55313
6GB70.700.48512
7SEA80.680.40118
8PIT50.670.46143
9SD90.640.52154
10PHI100.580.54821
11MIN110.570.451015
12DEN150.560.49723
13TEN140.550.53242
14NYG120.520.491910
15WAS130.510.54209
16BUF170.500.561614
17CLE160.470.47929
18HOU180.460.501726
19NYJ190.440.532122
20CIN200.430.511230
21NO240.410.501332
22BAL210.360.512516
23ARI220.360.442219
24ATL250.340.491828
25KC230.320.533111
26DET300.310.522318
27CAR270.310.493017
28MIA260.290.542725
29STL280.280.462920
30OAK290.260.462627
31CHI310.250.522831
32SF320.140.453224

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