Week 16 Efficiency Rankings

NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 16. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

Click on the table headers to sort.






































RankTeamLast WkGWPOpp GWPO RankD Rank
1NE10.870.5114
2IND20.870.5231
3DAL30.770.4747
4JAX50.760.53210
5TB40.740.4655
6SD70.680.50153
7PIT80.670.48126
8SEA90.650.411311
9GB60.630.45614
10PHI100.630.55713
11WAS140.570.53178
12TEN110.560.51242
13MIN130.510.441419
14DEN120.510.49829
15NYG150.500.48219
16CLE170.480.471121
17HOU160.470.531630
18CIN210.470.481028
19BUF180.440.551816
20NO200.430.51932
21NYJ190.430.542218
22BAL230.390.522517
23ATL220.360.511925
24CAR240.360.532712
25ARI270.340.462023
26KC250.340.512915
27MIA260.330.532622
28STL290.300.513020
29CHI310.300.532826
30DET280.300.512324
31OAK300.230.503131
32SF320.170.493227

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