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Sunday's numbers are now available, including advanced stat box scores, top players of the week, team stats, and season leader boards.
Everyday during the month of October, I'll be marking the re-launch of AFA by highlighting a feature here at the site. To help re-build the AFA community, please spread the word. Tell your friends and follow AFA on Twitter, Facebook, or via RSS.
MVP Visualization is probably a terrible name for this fun tool. I built after the regular season ended a couple years ago so I could avoid writing an All-AFA Team write up because, as long time readers know, I'd much rather be making models and crunching numbers than writing about making models and crunching numbers. The MVP Viz plots the top players at each position according to their cumulative Win Probability Added and Expected Points Added. The purpose was to identify the players who truly had the biggest impact on their team's outcomes. Players to the upper right have the biggest impacts. The players above the diagonal line have more WPA (game impact) than we'd expect given their EPA (score impact), meaning they tended to make more high-leverage or 'clutch' plays. Players below the diagonal had more of their production during low-leverage situations, commonly known as trash time.
AFA continues its partnership with the Harvard Sports Analysis Club. The following analysis is by Harrison Chase and Kurt Bullard.
Around the middle of the season every year, speculation rises among disgruntled fan bases regarding whether the head coach of their beloved team will get the ax by the end of the season. For no coach has this been truer over the past years than Rex Ryan, especially this season. Since opening the season with a five-point win over the Raiders, the Ryan-led squad had dropped five straight before heading into Thursday’s matchup against the Patriots, including a 31-0 shutout at the hands of the Chargers. Adding to the embarrassment of that game was the admission from Michael Vick that he hadn’t adequately prepared for the week’s game. After Thursday’s close loss to the Patriots—which is always a big game in the Jets schedule—we wondered what Rex Ryan’s chances of skating through the year unscathed were and what he would have to do in order to have a decent shot at keeping his job.