Game probabilities for the NFL divisional playoff round are listed below. The probabilities are based on an efficiency win model explained here and here. The model considers offensive and defensive efficiency stats including running, passing, sacks, turnover rates, and penalty rates. Team stats are adjusted for previous opponent strength. Click here for a sortable comparison of playoff team stats.
| V Prob | Game | H Prob |
|---|---|---|
| 0.26 |  JAX at NE  | 0.74 |
| 0.20 |  SD at IND  | 0.80 |
| 0.45 |  SEA at GB  | 0.55 |
| 0.19 |  NYG at DAL  | 0.81 |
Top 2 probabilities were incorrect, time to adjust the playoff model.