Season Win Projections Week 7

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. As before, projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP). The projections now account for future opponent strength. Total wins account for current and projected wins. Methodology can be found here.

Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Current	Proj
AFC E
NE	2	0.86	0.55	7	14.7
BUF	20	0.40	0.51	2	6.0
NYJ	27	0.26	0.57	1	3.4
MIA	29	0.26	0.54	0	2.3
AFC N
PIT	5	0.73	0.47	4	11.3
CLE	16	0.54	0.42	3	8.4
CIN	14	0.61	0.43	2	8.1
BAL	24	0.24	0.63	4	6.1
AFC S
IND	1	0.89	0.52	6	14.9
JAX	8	0.61	0.52	4	10.1
TEN	11	0.57	0.52	4	9.7
HOU	18	0.38	0.55	4	7.4
AFC W
DEN	6	0.70	0.44	3	10.0
SD	13	0.53	0.53	3	8.3
KC	17	0.43	0.52	4	7.9
OAK	25	0.31	0.52	2	5.1
Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Current	Proj
NFC E
DAL	4	0.70	0.54	6	12.3
NYG	7	0.64	0.51	5	10.8
WAS	10	0.54	0.58	4	9.4
PHI	12	0.51	0.57	2	7.1
NFC N
GB	15	0.56	0.43	5	10.6
DET	22	0.38	0.51	4	7.8
MIN	21	0.43	0.47	2	6.3
CHI	30	0.26	0.50	3	5.3
NFC S
TB	3	0.82	0.40	4	11.4
CAR	23	0.31	0.55	4	7.1
NO	28	0.36	0.42	2	5.6
ATL	26	0.32	0.51	1	3.8
NFC W
SS	9	0.74	0.38	4	10.6
ARI	19	0.50	0.41	3	7.5
SF	31	0.28	0.44	2	4.8
STL	32	0.26	0.44	0	2.6