Week 4 Efficiency Rankings

Team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered strength of schedule. The adjusted GWP (Adj GWP) modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of to-date opponents. Rankings are based on data through week 4. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

Team	Rank	Last Wk	GWP	Opp GWP	Adj GWP
IND	1	1	0.92	0.50	0.92
DEN	2	2	0.84	0.53	0.86
SEA	3	9	0.79	0.53	0.82
NE	4	3	0.96	0.28	0.79
DAL	5	5	0.94	0.28	0.78
TB	6	7	0.89	0.31	0.75
JAX	7	8	0.64	0.59	0.70
NYG	8	16	0.52	0.68	0.65
PHI	9	4	0.61	0.54	0.65
TEN	10	10	0.61	0.53	0.64
PIT	11	6	0.76	0.31	0.61
WAS	12	11	0.60	0.51	0.61
ARI	13	14	0.57	0.52	0.59
CIN	14	15	0.47	0.61	0.55
HOU	15	12	0.51	0.53	0.53
GB	16	13	0.54	0.44	0.50
KC	17	20	0.59	0.31	0.44
MIA	18	18	0.39	0.56	0.43
MIN	19	19	0.43	0.49	0.42
DET	20	22	0.50	0.38	0.42
OAK	21	29	0.40	0.51	0.41
BUF	22	24	0.16	0.71	0.32
CLE	23	30	0.32	0.50	0.32
BAL	24	23	0.37	0.41	0.30
ATL	25	25	0.31	0.47	0.29
NO	26	31	0.03	0.81	0.26
CAR	27	21	0.29	0.46	0.26
NYJ	28	26	0.28	0.47	0.26
SD	29	28	0.20	0.54	0.23
SF	30	17	0.18	0.56	0.23
STL	31	27	0.12	0.58	0.18
CHI	32	32	0.09	0.56	0.14