How Poorly Is Brett Favre Playing This Season?

Last season was magical for Brett Favre, as everything seemed to go his way. In the 2009 regular season, Favre accumulated +3.08 WPA, good for fifth in the league. That's an average of +0.19 WPA per game, meaning his performance would take an average team from a 50/50 team to almost a 70/30 team. That's impressive for an athlete of any age.

This season is different. Injuries and distractions appear to have taken their toll. Through week 7, Favre ranks a very distant last in total WPA, with -1.89, nearly three times worse than the next worst passer. That's -0.32 WPA per game. He's behind Trent Edwards, Jay Cutler, Matt Moore, Jimmy Clausen, Max Hall--everyone.

It's not just bad timing or bad luck in high leverage situations, either. Over his six games, he's responsible for -20 EPA, which is basically net point (dis)advantage. He's 5th worst in Success Rate (SR) among qualified QBs, meaning he's consistently bad, and not just a victim of a handful of high impact plays.

Everyone knows Favre isn't doing well, and we don't need fancy stats to tell us that. But when we  actually quantify just how bad his play has been so far, it's eye-popping. If he were anyone else, he'd be benched.

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6 Responses to “How Poorly Is Brett Favre Playing This Season?”

  1. Tavaris Jackson says:

    Zing !


  2. Anonymous says:

    Links are broken for me, not such if it's my problem or theirs.

  3. tgt says:

    The links were put in with a local ip address instead of the domain name. Until Brian gets a chance to change them, after you click on a link, change "" in the URL to "". You can also follow the stats links at the top to 2009 QBs and 2010 QBS.

  4. Brian Burke says:

    Oops. Thx.

  5. James says:

    Just heard that Lovie Smith didn't challenge a QB sneak by Cutler that crossed the plane before he fumbled the ball because, and get this, he challenged the play before and it wasn't successful.

    Obviously being incorrect on the previous play lowers the chances of getting a (rather obvious) challenge later in the game.

  6. Adam says:

    Yeah James, everyone knows your chances are higher because you're "due" for a successful challenge.

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