Season Win Projections Week 13

Season win totals and division standing projections are listed below. As before, projections are based on each team's opponent-adjusted generic win probability (GWP). The projections account for future opponent strength (Fut Opp), and projected wins (proj W) is a total of current and estimated future wins. The methodology is described more fully here. Precise playoff predictions based on individual game probabilities can be found at NFL Forecast.

Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
AFC E
NE	1	0.89	0.50	15.5
BUF	17	0.48	0.48	7.9
NYJ	19	0.40	0.56	4.6
MIA	26	0.30	0.56	1.2
AFC N
PIT	5	0.63	0.57	11.5
CLE	16	0.59	0.38	9.4
CIN	20	0.63	0.32	6.5
BAL	21	0.30	0.64	5.2
AFC S
IND	3	0.88	0.42	13.5
JAX	6	0.73	0.44	10.9
TEN	14	0.43	0.58	8.7
HOU	18	0.28	0.69	6.1
AFC W
SD	9	0.74	0.38	10.0
DEN	15	0.46	0.51	6.8
KC	23	0.45	0.43	5.8
OAK	29	0.14	0.71	4.5
Team	Rank	Proj GWP	Fut Opp	Proj W
NFC E
DAL	2	0.89	0.42	14.6
NYG	12	0.41	0.61	9.6
PHI	10	0.54	0.55	7.2
WAS	13	0.46	0.55	6.8
NFC N
GB	7	0.84	0.27	13.4
MIN	11	0.71	0.35	8.8
DET	30	0.18	0.64	6.7
CHI	31	0.23	0.53	5.9
NFC S
TB	4	0.87	0.33	11.5
NO	24	0.47	0.40	6.9
CAR	27	0.15	0.74	5.6
ATL	25	0.31	0.55	4.3
NFC W
SEA	8	0.76	0.38	11.0
ARI	22	0.48	0.42	7.9
STL	28	0.25	0.55	4.0
SF	32	0.13	0.56	3.5