Keith Goldner is back on the podcast to discuss this past weekend's divisional round playoff games. Keith is the chief analyst at Numberfire and also a regular contributor to Advanced NFL Stats. Dave and Keith begin by discussing some of the key decisions from the past weekend's playoff games, including whether Marshawn Lynch should've gone down at the one yard line at the end of the Seattle/New Orleans game, Riverboat Ron's goal line strategies and what to do when a punt is botched and the snap ends up in the end zone.
Keith reviews his lists of the regular season's most efficient quarterbacks and running backs and explains the differences between high efficiency and high success rate player performance. Dave and Keith round out the episode by previewing this weekend's AFC and NFC championship games, and Keith predicts which teams he expects to see playing for a ring in New York this February.
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Scorecasting's wrong about home field advantage, at least for NFL games. Most of the chapter was about baseball. The authors wrote two paragraphs on the NFL, using a cherry-picked subset (a set they don't actually disclose) of penalties to try to 'prove' their point that officials are biased in the NFL too.
If you look at all penalties, or analyze play challenge outcomes, you get about what you expect: a 50/50 split on calls between home and away. Some years a bit more, some a bit less.
Wow. That was a really, really lousy, tacked on, 2 minute analysis of the upcoming NFC championship game. Not up to your usual high standards.
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